HOW IT WORKS

No black box. Here's how we rate players and price a match, and what every number on the site means.

How it works

1 · Player strength

Every player carries a strength level capturing how well they are playing right now. It updates after every match: beat a stronger player and you climb more; lose to a weaker one and you fall further. The gap between two players maps directly to a win chance.

2 · From strength to match price

The strength gap gives the base win chance. From there we simulate the match — game by game, to the configured best-of — tens of thousands of times. That produces the win chance, the most likely correct scores, the expected total points, and over/under and handicap chances.

3 · Value vs. the market

When live betting prices are available we compare our win chance to what the market implies. Where they disagree meaningfully, we surface a value pick with its expected value. This is a research signal, not a guarantee — nothing reliably beats a sharp closing line.

What the numbers mean

Win %: Our estimated chance a player wins the match.
Strength: How well a player is playing right now, updated after every match. The gap between two players maps to a win chance.
Expected total: The projected total points scored across the whole match, used to price the over/under.
Correct score: Our estimated chance for each final game score (e.g. 3-1). We show the most likely few.
Handicap -1.5: The chance a player covers a 1.5-game handicap (wins by a margin).
Sweep %: How often a player wins without dropping a game.
Game-1 win %: How often a player takes the opening game — a read on fast starters.
Value / EV: How much more we expect to win than the price pays. An estimate of edge, not a promise.

Honesty

Our numbers are estimates. A "65%" should win about 65 of every 100 times over a large sample — not every time. Use this as one input, manage your bankroll, and bet responsibly. 21+.